Bawler / England: Premier League / Sunderland
Team profile · England: Premier League

Sunderland Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
1.17
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.47
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
40%
2/5 calls

Sunderland prediction: Bawler's model rates Sunderland at 1.17 expected goals scored and 1.47 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 40% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. No Sunderland fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Sunderland sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.17 expected goals a game and conceding 1.47. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.60 a game against 1.17 expected. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Sunderland have been correct 40% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 2D 0L
Real goals
1.6 – 0.8
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Sunderland compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for
1.17
Below average
Goals against
1.47
Leakier than most
Scored1.17
Conceded1.47

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.46 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.17 xG per match · -0.29 above the England: Premier League average of 1.46.
Tough market: Result
Sunderland matches give the model a harder read here — 2/5 (40%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

📊 Sunderland in numbers

40 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
🏠 1.3✈️ 0.9
3.5
Corners · per game
give up 4.9
🏠 3.7✈️ 3.2
9.9
Shots · per game
faced 13.5
🏠 11.4✈️ 8.3
3.3
On target · per game
faced 4.2
🏠 3.5✈️ 3.0
🗓️ Last 6 games
02 Aug
1-0
@ Wrexham
🚩 0-0
31 Jul
0-1
vs Leeds
🚩 0-0
24 May
2-1
vs Chelsea
🚩 6-2
17 May
3-1
@ Everton
🚩 2-3
09 May
0-0
vs Manchester United
🚩 6-7
02 May
1-1
@ Wolverhampton
🚩 3-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Sunderland matches
40%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Sunderland fixture, it is right 2 out of 5 (40%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INThomas MeunierRBfrom LilleFree transfer
OUTEliezer MayendaSTto Rennes€22m
OUTAnthony PattersonGKto Wrexham€9.2m
OUTDennis CirkinLBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTDaniel NeilDMto RangersFree transfer
OUTBertrand TraoréRWto Free agentFree transfer
OUTLeo HjeldeCBto KV MechelenUndisclosed
OUTTimothée PembéléRBto Le HavreFree transfer
OUTArthur MasuakuLBto KonyasporFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

FPL assets at this club (2026/27 projections)

E.Le FéeE.Le FéeMID · £6.0m · 12.8% owned3.5 pts
BallardBallardDEF · £5.0m · 4.4% owned3.2 pts
RoefsRoefsGKP · £5.0m · 4.9% owned3.1 pts
XhakaXhakaMID · £5.5m · 5.2% owned3.1 pts
BrobbeyBrobbeyFWD · £6.0m · 16.9% owned2.5 pts
Next 5:IPS (A)FUL (H)BRE (A)ARS (H)MCI (A)

Full predicted points table → · Fixture difficulty matrix →

Sunderland prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly