Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026
Liverpool prediction: Bawler's model rates Liverpool at 1.50 expected goals scored and 1.55 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 80% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Liverpool fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Liverpool sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.50 expected goals a game and conceding 1.55. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.50 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Liverpool have been correct 80% of the time.
The last 5 settled results, most recent first.
How Liverpool compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.46 scored, 1.46 conceded).
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When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Liverpool fixture, it is right 4 out of 5 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.
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