Bawler / England: Premier League / Crystal Palace

Team profile · England: Premier League

Crystal Palace Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches

9 settled

Goals for

1.40

Expected, per match

Goals against

1.53

Expected, per match

High-confidence accuracy

78%

7/9 calls

Crystal Palace prediction: Bawler's model rates Crystal Palace at 1.40 expected goals scored and 1.53 conceded per match across 9 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 78% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Crystal Palace fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Crystal Palace sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.40 expected goals a game and conceding 1.53. Across 9 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Crystal Palace have been correct 78% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record

3W 3D 3L

Real goals

1.6 – 1.4

For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Crystal Palace compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for

1.40

Below average

Goals against

1.53

Leakier than most

Scored1.40

Conceded1.53

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.46 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says

Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)

High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Crystal Palace fixtures (4/5).

📊 Crystal Palace in numbers

57 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.3

Goals · per game

let in 1.2

🏠 1.2✈️ 1.3

4.3

Corners · per game

give up 4.6

🏠 4.5✈️ 4.1

12.5

Shots · per game

faced 10.7

🏠 13.7✈️ 11.3

4.1

On target · per game

faced 3.7

🏠 4.2✈️ 4.1

🗓️ Last 6 games

31 Jul

3-1

vs Al-Ula

🚩 -

28 Jul

1-0

@ Famalicao

🚩 -

28 Jul

0-3

vs Lens

🚩 -

27 May

1-0

vs Rayo Vallecano

🚩 4-1

24 May

1-2

vs Arsenal

🚩 3-4

17 May

2-2

@ Brentford

🚩 4-9

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Crystal Palace matches

78%

of high-confidence calls correct, over 9

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Crystal Palace fixture, it is right 7 out of 9 (78%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Crystal Palace by market

Goals (Over/Under)80%4/5

Result75%3/4

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Crystal Palace fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Crystal Palace matches.