Bawler / England: Premier League / Everton
Team profile · England: Premier League

Everton Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
4
4 settled
Goals for
1.34
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.48
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
50%
2/4 calls

Everton prediction: Bawler's model rates Everton at 1.34 expected goals scored and 1.48 conceded per match across 4 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 50% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 4 settled matches. No Everton fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Everton sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.34 expected goals a game and conceding 1.48. Across 4 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Everton have been correct 50% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 4 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 1D 2L
Real goals
1.5 – 1.5
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Everton compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for
1.34
Below average
Goals against
1.48
Leakier than most
Scored1.34
Conceded1.48

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.46 scored, 1.46 conceded).

📊 Everton in numbers

41 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
🏠 1.4✈️ 1.2
4.7
Corners · per game
give up 5.1
🏠 5.0✈️ 4.3
11.7
Shots · per game
faced 13.6
🏠 12.6✈️ 10.9
4.1
On target · per game
faced 4.1
🏠 4.5✈️ 3.8
🗓️ Last 6 games
08 Aug
4-1
@ Huachipato
🚩 7-3
01 Aug
3-4
vs Colo Colo
🚩 7-3
28 Jul
1-1
@ Union La Calera
🚩 10-9
24 May
0-1
@ Tottenham
🚩 7-7
17 May
1-3
vs Sunderland
🚩 3-2
10 May
2-2
@ Crystal Palace
🚩 10-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Everton by market
Result0%0/2
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Everton fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Everton matches.

Recent matches (last 4)

Transfer activity

INBrennan JohnsonAMfrom Crystal PalaceUndisclosed
INMerlin RöhlRWfrom Freiburg€25m
INHayden HackneyDMfrom Middlesbrough€19m
INChristian NørgaardDMfrom Arsenal€8m
OUTDwight McNeilRWto Crystal PalaceUndisclosed
OUTMartin SherifSTto Port ValeLoan
OUTIdrissa Gana GueyeDMto Free agentFree transfer
OUTElijah CampbellCBto Port ValeLoan
OUTSéamus ColemanRWBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTTyler OnyangoRWBto Free agentFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

FPL assets at this club (2026/27 projections)

TarkowskiTarkowskiDEF · £6.0m · 9.7% owned3.6 pts
Dewsbury-HallDewsbury-HallMID · £6.5m · 3.7% owned3.3 pts
NdiayeNdiayeMID · £6.0m · 15.3% owned3.1 pts
BranthwaiteBranthwaiteDEF · £5.5m · 1.9% owned3.0 pts
PickfordPickfordGKP · £5.5m · 8.8% owned2.8 pts
Next 5:CRY (H)BOU (A)MUN (H)TOT (A)IPS (H)

Full predicted points table → · Fixture difficulty matrix →

Everton prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly