AS Monaco vs Toulouse prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45 UK
50AS Monaco win24Draw26Toulouse win
Full time
2–2

How it finished

AS Monaco and Toulouse drew 2–2. AS Monaco had 16 shots (4 on target) to Toulouse's 9 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.4.

AS MonacoFull-time statsToulouse
58%Possession42%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.4
16Shots9
4Shots on target4
11Shots inside box5
1Big chances2
4Corners4
2Saves2
10Fouls16
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards2
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if AS Monaco win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.8v1.3
3.1 in total
Both teams score
60%
Yes
3+ goals
60%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

AS MonacoAS MonacoToulouseToulouse
1.8Goals1.3
16.6Shots11.8
5.7On target4.7
3.9Corners4.3
AS MonacoAS MonacoToulouseToulouse
0.7Goals0.7
7.9Shots5.0
2.6On target2.2
1.8Corners2.0
AS MonacoAS MonacoToulouseToulouse
1.1Goals0.6
8.7Shots6.8
3.1On target2.6
2.1Corners2.3

What we said the chances were

AS Monaco to score84%
2 or more goals81%
Goal before half-time76%
Toulouse to score72%
3 goals or fewer63%

First half — what we expected

AS Monaco
52%
to score before half-time
Toulouse
49%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

AS MonacoAS MonacoToulouseToulouse
62%7+ shots27%
39%9+ shots12%
70%2+ shots on target60%
28%4+ shots on target19%
79%1+ corners82%
29%3+ corners33%

League position

Toulouse in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Apr 2026Toulouse 2–2 Monaco
Oct 2025Monaco 1–0 Toulouse
Mar 2025Toulouse 1–1 Monaco
Dec 2024Monaco 2–0 Toulouse
Feb 2024Monaco 1–2 Toulouse
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →AS Monaco form →Toulouse form →

Common questions

Who won AS Monaco vs Toulouse?

AS Monaco and Toulouse drew 2–2. AS Monaco had 16 shots (4 on target) to Toulouse's 9 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.4.

What was the final score in AS Monaco vs Toulouse?

AS Monaco 2–2 Toulouse, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with AS Monaco 50%, the draw 24% and Toulouse 26%.

What were the stats in AS Monaco vs Toulouse?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.4, Shots 16–9, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–2, Fouls 10–16, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in AS Monaco vs Toulouse?

Yes — both AS Monaco and Toulouse scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.