AS Monaco and Toulouse drew 2–2. AS Monaco had 16 shots (4 on target) to Toulouse's 9 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.4.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
AS Monaco and Toulouse drew 2–2. AS Monaco had 16 shots (4 on target) to Toulouse's 9 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.4.
AS Monaco 2–2 Toulouse, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with AS Monaco 50%, the draw 24% and Toulouse 26%.
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.4, Shots 16–9, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–2, Fouls 10–16, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both AS Monaco and Toulouse scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.