What we expect
Player forecasts
How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.
Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.
These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Toulouse vs Le Havre AC?
Bawler's model rates this match: Toulouse are favoured (51% win probability vs 22% for Le Havre AC, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Le Havre AC?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Toulouse 1-1 Le Havre AC (12.5% probability). Expected total goals: 2.62.
How does Bawler predict Toulouse vs Le Havre AC?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Toulouse 51%, the draw 26% and Le Havre AC 22%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Toulouse vs Le Havre AC?
BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.63 and away expected goals 0.99.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Toulouse vs Le Havre AC?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.62. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).