Bawler / USA: MLS / Philadelphia Union
Team profile · USA: MLS

Philadelphia Union Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
11
11 settled
Goals for
1.44
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.41
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
55%
6/11 calls

Philadelphia Union prediction: Bawler's model rates Philadelphia Union at 1.44 expected goals scored and 1.41 conceded per match across 11 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 55% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Philadelphia Union fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Philadelphia Union sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.44 expected goals a game and conceding 1.41. Form is with them: 3 straight wins. Across 11 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Philadelphia Union have been correct 55% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 4D 4L
Real goals
1.5 – 1.6
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Philadelphia Union compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.44
Below average
Goals against
1.41
Tighter than most
Scored1.44
Conceded1.41

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
On a 3-match winning run
Form line shows consecutive wins in their most recent settled fixtures. Momentum factor worth weighting.

📊 Philadelphia Union in numbers

50 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.6
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
🏠 1.8✈️ 1.4
6.3
Corners · per game
give up 3.9
🏠 7.2✈️ 5.3
15.9
Shots · per game
faced 9.8
🏠 17.1✈️ 14.6
5.0
On target · per game
faced 3.4
🏠 5.8✈️ 4.0
🗓️ Last 6 games
10 Aug
3-1
vs Necaxa
🚩 4-7
07 Aug
0-1
@ Cruz Azul
🚩 7-1
01 Aug
3-2
vs Atlanta Utd
🚩 12-2
25 Jul
1-0
vs Seattle Sounders
🚩 6-1
22 Jul
3-1
vs New York Red Bulls
🚩 8-6
24 May
4-6
@ Inter Miami
🚩 2-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Philadelphia Union matches
55%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 11

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Philadelphia Union fixture, it is right 6 out of 11 (55%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Philadelphia Union by market
Result50%3/6
Goals (Over/Under)60%3/5

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Philadelphia Union fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Philadelphia Union matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

Transfer activity

INKai WagnerLBfrom Birmingham City€3.5m
OUTOlwethu MakhanyaCBto Rangers€3.6m
OUTNick ParianoCMto Huntsville CityFree transfer
OUTChris DonovanSTto Louisville CityFree transfer
OUTEdward DavisSTto Loudoun United FCLoan
OUTMarkus AndersonSTto Brooklyn FCLoan
OUTChristopher Olney Jr.LWto Brooklyn FCLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Philadelphia Union prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly