Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026
Philadelphia Union prediction: Bawler's model rates Philadelphia Union at 1.44 expected goals scored and 1.41 conceded per match across 11 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 55% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Philadelphia Union fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Philadelphia Union sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.44 expected goals a game and conceding 1.41. Form is with them: 3 straight wins. Across 11 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Philadelphia Union have been correct 55% of the time.
The last 5 settled results, most recent first.
How Philadelphia Union compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →
When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Philadelphia Union fixture, it is right 6 out of 11 (55%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.
How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Philadelphia Union fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Philadelphia Union matches.
Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →