Bawler / PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal / Sporting
Team profile · PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal

Sporting Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
9
8 settled
Goals for
1.62
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.12
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
88%
7/8 calls

Sporting prediction: for Sporting's next match — Sporting vs Vitória de Guimaraes on Friday 14 Aug, 19:15 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Sporting win looks most likely (61%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Sporting are the most complete profile in this data: creating 1.62 expected goals a game while giving up just 1.12. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.25 a game against 1.62 expected. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Next up is Vitória de Guimaraes, where the model makes them clear favourites at 61%.

Next match

Home vs Vitória de Guimaraes · Friday 14 Aug, 19:15 UTC

Win
61%
Sporting
Draw
25%
Loss
14%
Opponent
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 85%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
4W 3D 1L
Real goals
2.3 – 1.0
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Sporting compare with the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average, per match.

Goals for
1.62
Above average
Goals against
1.12
Tighter than most
Scored1.62
Conceded1.12

The grey line on each bar is the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average (1.36 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.62 xG per match · +0.26 above the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average of 1.36.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.12 xG per match · -0.26 vs league average of 1.38.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Sporting fixtures (5/5).
Squad availability · Sporting vs Vitória de Guimaraes
Fetching squad availability…

How to read this: known injuries, suspensions, and doubtful players for both squads, pulled from FotMob's official feed. Updates close to kickoff as managers confirm availability.

📊 Sporting in numbers

49 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.4
Goals · per game
let in 0.9
🏠 2.9✈️ 1.9
6.0
Corners · per game
give up 3.7
🏠 6.0✈️ 6.0
16.0
Shots · per game
faced 9.9
🏠 18.9✈️ 13.5
6.4
On target · per game
faced 3.4
🏠 7.5✈️ 5.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
08 Aug
1-2
@ Cartagines
🚩 3-4
08 Aug
2-2
@ Estrela
🚩 4-5
02 Aug
1-1
@ Puntarenas
🚩 2-6
16 May
3-0
vs Gil Vicente
🚩 6-1
11 May
4-1
@ Rio Ave
🚩 6-5
04 May
5-1
vs Vitoria Guimaraes
🚩 1-7

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Sporting matches
88%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 8

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Sporting fixture, it is right 7 out of 8 (88%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Sporting by market
Result100%5/5
Goals (Over/Under)50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Sporting fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Sporting matches.

Recent matches (last 8)

Transfer activity

INRodrigo ZalazarRWfrom Braga€30m
INIbrahima BaCBfrom Famalicao€21m
INIssa DoumbiaCMfrom Venezia€21m
INSergi AltimiraDMfrom Real Betis€19m
INSilas AndersenDMfrom Häcken€10m
INPedro LimaCMfrom AVS Futebol SAD€4m
INJesse DerryLWfrom ChelseaLoan
OUTGeovany QuendaRWto Chelsea€50m
OUTOusmane DiomandeCBto Nottingham Forest€40m
OUTMorten HjulmandDMto Atletico Madrid€40m
OUTTrincãoAMto Al Ahli€39m
OUTAlisson SantosAMto Napoli€17m
OUTDiogo TravassosRWto Braga€5.5m
OUTRodrigo RibeiroSTto Augsburg€5m
OUTHidemasa MoritaDMto Hull CityFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Sporting prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly