Bawler / Portugal: Primeira Liga / Moreirense
Team profile · Portugal: Primeira Liga

Moreirense Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
4
4 settled
Goals for
1.42
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.36
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
75%
3/4 calls

Moreirense prediction: Bawler's model rates Moreirense at 1.42 expected goals scored and 1.36 conceded per match across 4 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 75% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 4 settled matches. No Moreirense fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Moreirense sit close to the Primeira Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.42 expected goals a game and conceding 1.36. They have struggled lately, losing 2 of their last 4. Across 4 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Moreirense have been correct 75% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 4 settled results, most recent first.

Record
0W 2D 2L
Real goals
0.5 – 1.3
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Moreirense compare with the Portugal: Primeira Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.42
Above average
Goals against
1.36
Tighter than most
Scored1.42
Conceded1.36

The grey line on each bar is the Portugal: Primeira Liga average (1.39 scored, 1.40 conceded).

📊 Moreirense in numbers

35 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
🏠 1.2✈️ 1.0
3.7
Corners · per game
give up 4.7
🏠 4.0✈️ 3.3
8.9
Shots · per game
faced 13.1
🏠 9.2✈️ 8.5
3.2
On target · per game
faced 4.5
🏠 3.1✈️ 3.4
🗓️ Last 6 games
09 Aug
2-2
vs Braga
🚩 4-2
16 May
0-0
vs AFS
🚩 5-3
11 May
0-2
@ Tondela
🚩 8-1
02 May
3-2
vs Estrela
🚩 1-4
25 Apr
1-4
@ Benfica
🚩 2-9
20 Apr
1-0
vs Estoril
🚩 5-1

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Recent matches (last 4)

Transfer activity

INJoão VelosoCMfrom BenficaLoan
INJandersonfrom CruzeiroUndisclosed
INAranhafrom PalmeirasLoan
OUTAlanCMto Free agentFree transfer
OUTCedric TeguiaRWto AD CeutaUndisclosed
OUTCaio SeccoGKto LeixoesFree transfer
OUTJoel JorqueraRWto Real MurciaUndisclosed
OUTFabiano SouzaRBto VitoriaLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Moreirense prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly