Bawler / PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal / Casa Pia
Team profile · PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.11
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.53
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
83%
5/6 calls

Casa Pia prediction: Bawler's model rates Casa Pia at 1.11 expected goals scored and 1.53 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 83% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 1W 3D 1L. No Casa Pia fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Casa Pia sit close to the Liga Portugal average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.11 expected goals a game and conceding 1.53. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.50 goals a game against 1.11 expected. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Casa Pia have been correct 83% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 3D 2L
Real goals
0.5 – 1.2
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Casa Pia compare with the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average, per match.

Goals for
1.11
Below average
Goals against
1.53
Leakier than most
Scored1.11
Conceded1.53

The grey line on each bar is the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average (1.36 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.11 xG per match · -0.25 above the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average of 1.36.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.53 xG per match · +0.15 vs league average of 1.38.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Casa Pia fixtures (4/4).

📊 Casa Pia in numbers

36 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.9
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
🏠 1.1✈️ 0.7
4.1
Corners · per game
give up 5.8
🏠 3.6✈️ 4.5
8.9
Shots · per game
faced 13.7
🏠 8.3✈️ 9.5
2.9
On target · per game
faced 4.4
🏠 2.7✈️ 3.2
🗓️ Last 6 games
08 Aug
0-1
@ Maritimo
🚩 6-2
16 May
1-1
vs Rio Ave
🚩 9-0
11 May
1-0
@ Vitoria Guimaraes
🚩 4-6
11 May
1-0
@ Vitória de Guimaraes
🚩 4-6
03 May
0-1
vs Tondela
🚩 7-2
27 Apr
1-2
@ Gil Vicente
🚩 3-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Casa Pia matches
83%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Casa Pia fixture, it is right 5 out of 6 (83%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Casa Pia by market
Result100%4/4
Goals (Over/Under)50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Casa Pia fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Casa Pia matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

Casa Pia prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly