Bawler / PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal / Rio Ave

Team profile · PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal

Rio Ave Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches

5

4 settled

Goals for

1.21

Expected, per match

Goals against

1.67

Expected, per match

High-confidence accuracy

100%

4/4 calls

Rio Ave prediction: for Rio Ave's next match — Rio Ave vs Porto on Saturday 15 Aug, 19:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Porto are favoured (35%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Rio Ave are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.67 expected goals a game against a Liga Portugal average of 1.38. Next up is FC Porto, where the model has them as underdogs at 31%.

Next match

Home vs Porto · Saturday 15 Aug, 19:30 UTC

Win

31%

Rio Ave

Draw

33%

Loss

35%

Porto

High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 77%

Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 4 settled results, most recent first.

Record

1W 1D 2L

Real goals

1.0 – 1.8

For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Rio Ave compare with the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average, per match.

Goals for

1.21

Below average

Goals against

1.67

Leakier than most

Scored1.21

Conceded1.67

The grey line on each bar is the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average (1.36 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says

Leaky defensively

Conceding 1.67 xG per match · +0.29 vs league average of 1.38.

Model is strongest on: Result

High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Rio Ave fixtures (3/3).

📊 Rio Ave in numbers

35 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.0

Goals · per game

let in 1.7

🏠 1.0✈️ 1.0

4.2

Corners · per game

give up 6.5

🏠 5.1✈️ 3.3

10.3

Shots · per game

faced 15.3

🏠 12.4✈️ 8.3

3.8

On target · per game

faced 5.1

🏠 4.1✈️ 3.5

🗓️ Last 6 games

09 Aug

0-1

@ Gil Vicente

🚩 2-5

16 May

1-1

@ Casa Pia

🚩 0-9

11 May

1-4

vs Sporting

🚩 5-6

03 May

0-0

vs Gil Vicente

🚩 9-7

25 Apr

0-2

@ Vitoria Guimaraes

🚩 5-3

17 Apr

2-2

vs AFS

🚩 4-9

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Recent matches (last 4)

Sun 09 Aug@ Gil Vicente

Win 13%High confidence: Home Win

Sat 16 May@ Casa Pia

Win 32%High confidence: X2

Mon 11 Mayvs Sporting CP

Win 20%High confidence: X2

Sun 22 Mar@ Estoril

Win 26%High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INDiogo NascimentoDMfrom OlympiacosLoan

INRoland GalcíkRWfrom PodbrezovaUndisclosed

INSamuelRBfrom Botafogo FRUndisclosed

OUTOlé PohlmannLWto Greuther FürthUndisclosed

OUTKarem ZoabiSTto TorreenseFree transfer

OUTMarc GualSTto Kairat AlmatyFree transfer

OUTJoão GraçaLWto Free agentFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

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