Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026
Estrela prediction: for Estrela's next match — Alverca vs Estrela on Saturday 15 Aug, 14:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Alverca are favoured (55%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.
Estrela sit close to the Liga Portugal average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.38 expected goals a game and conceding 1.43. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.80 a game against 1.38 expected. Next up is a trip to Alverca, where the model has them as underdogs at 16%.
Away vs Alverca · Saturday 15 Aug, 14:30 UTC
The last 5 settled results, most recent first.
How Estrela compare with the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average (1.36 scored, 1.38 conceded).
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →
When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Estrela fixture, it is right 4 out of 5 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.
How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Estrela fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Estrela matches.