Arouca Prediction
Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026
Arouca prediction: Bawler's model rates Arouca at 1.29 expected goals scored and 1.58 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 20% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. No Arouca fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Arouca sit close to the Liga Portugal average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.29 expected goals a game and conceding 1.58. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.20 a game against 1.29 expected. Form is with them: 5 straight wins. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Arouca have been correct 20% of the time.
Form pulse
The last 5 settled results, most recent first.
Attack vs defence
How Arouca compare with the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average (1.36 scored, 1.38 conceded).
📊 Arouca in numbers
36 competitive matches · friendlies excludedReal counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →
When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Arouca fixture, it is right 1 out of 5 (20%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.
How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Arouca fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Arouca matches.
Recent matches (last 5)
Transfer activity
Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →