Bawler / Portugal: Primeira Liga / Estoril
Team profile · Portugal: Primeira Liga

Estoril Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
6
6 settled
Goals for
1.47
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.42
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
83%
5/6 calls

Estoril prediction: Bawler's model rates Estoril at 1.47 expected goals scored and 1.42 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 83% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Estoril fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Estoril sit close to the Primeira Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.47 expected goals a game and conceding 1.42. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.47 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Estoril have been correct 83% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
0W 2D 4L
Real goals
1.0 – 1.8
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Estoril compare with the Portugal: Primeira Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.47
Above average
Goals against
1.42
Leakier than most
Scored1.47
Conceded1.42

The grey line on each bar is the Portugal: Primeira Liga average (1.39 scored, 1.40 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Estoril fixtures (4/4).

📊 Estoril in numbers

35 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.6
Goals · per game
let in 1.7
🏠 1.7✈️ 1.5
4.4
Corners · per game
give up 4.9
🏠 4.7✈️ 4.1
11.7
Shots · per game
faced 11.9
🏠 12.2✈️ 11.3
4.0
On target · per game
faced 4.4
🏠 4.4✈️ 3.6
🗓️ Last 6 games
07 Aug
1-1
vs Famalicao
🚩 7-6
16 May
1-3
vs Benfica
🚩 2-9
10 May
1-1
@ Alverca
🚩 4-4
03 May
1-1
@ Braga
🚩 4-5
26 Apr
0-1
vs Famalicao
🚩 9-4
20 Apr
0-1
@ Moreirense
🚩 1-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Estoril matches
83%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Estoril fixture, it is right 5 out of 6 (83%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Transfer activity

INStélios AndreouCBfrom Widzew ŁódźLoan
INFernando MedranoLBfrom CD MirandesFree transfer
OUTKévin BomaCBto Salzburg€7m
OUTFelix BacherCBto Lyon€4.3m
OUTAlejandro MarquésSTto Free agentFree transfer
OUTPedro AmaralCBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTNodar LominadzeCMto Torpedo KutaisiUndisclosed
OUTTiago ParenteLMto Swansea CityLoan
OUTFranCMto SintrenseFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Estoril prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly