Bawler / USA: MLS / Portland Timbers
Team profile · USA: MLS

Portland Timbers Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
11
11 settled
Goals for
1.46
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.97
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
11/11 calls

Portland Timbers prediction: Bawler's model rates Portland Timbers at 1.46 expected goals scored and 1.97 conceded per match across 11 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Portland Timbers fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Portland Timbers are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.97 expected goals a game against a MLS average of 1.45. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.09 a game against 1.46 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Across 11 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Portland Timbers have been correct 100% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
4W 3D 4L
Real goals
2.1 – 1.6
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Portland Timbers compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.46
Below average
Goals against
1.97
Leakier than most
Scored1.46
Conceded1.97

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.97 xG per match · +0.52 vs league average of 1.45.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Portland Timbers fixtures (8/8).

📊 Portland Timbers in numbers

51 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.5
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
🏠 1.9✈️ 1.1
4.8
Corners · per game
give up 5.4
🏠 5.1✈️ 4.6
12.3
Shots · per game
faced 14.4
🏠 13.4✈️ 11.2
4.5
On target · per game
faced 5.5
🏠 4.8✈️ 4.2
🗓️ Last 6 games
10 Aug
1-3
@ Club America
🚩 5-5
07 Aug
5-2
vs Puebla
🚩 5-6
02 Aug
2-1
vs Seattle Sounders
🚩 4-5
26 Jul
2-1
vs Real Salt Lake
🚩 -
23 Jul
2-2
vs Dallas
🚩 -
17 Jul
5-1
@ Seattle Sounders
🚩 8-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Portland Timbers matches
100%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 11

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Portland Timbers fixture, it is right 11 out of 11 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Portland Timbers by market
Goals (Over/Under)100%8/8
Result100%3/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Portland Timbers fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Portland Timbers matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

Transfer activity

INAlexander AravenaLWfrom GremioLoan
INJosé CaicedoCMfrom Pumas€2m
INVincent JanssenSTfrom Royal AntwerpFree transfer
OUTMatías RojasRMto LibertadFree transfer
OUTFelipe MoraSTto San LuisUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Portland Timbers prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly