Bawler / USA: MLS / Sporting Kansas City

Team profile · USA: MLS

Sporting Kansas City Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches

10 settled

Goals for

1.15

Expected, per match

Goals against

2.13

Expected, per match

High-confidence accuracy

90%

9/10 calls

Sporting Kansas City prediction: for Sporting Kansas City's next match — Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City on Sunday 16 Aug, 01:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Colorado Rapids are favoured (57%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Sporting Kansas City are vulnerable at the back, conceding 2.13 expected goals a game against a MLS average of 1.45. Next up is a trip to Colorado Rapids, where the model has them as underdogs at 17%.

Next match

Away vs Colorado Rapids · Sunday 16 Aug, 01:30 UTC

Win

17%

This team

Draw

26%

Loss

57%

Opponent

High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 85%

Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record

3W 1D 6L

Real goals

1.2 – 2.4

For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Sporting Kansas City compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for

1.15

Below average

Goals against

2.13

Leakier than most

Scored1.15

Conceded2.13

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says

Misfiring in attack

Averaging 1.15 xG per match · -0.33 above the USA: MLS average of 1.48.

Leaky defensively

Conceding 2.13 xG per match · +0.68 vs league average of 1.45.

Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)

High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Sporting Kansas City fixtures (6/6).

📊 Sporting Kansas City in numbers

44 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.3

Goals · per game

let in 2.1

🏠 1.4✈️ 1.2

4.8

Corners · per game

give up 4.8

🏠 5.8✈️ 3.7

11.6

Shots · per game

faced 15.0

🏠 12.6✈️ 10.5

4.2

On target · per game

faced 5.9

🏠 4.9✈️ 3.5

🗓️ Last 6 games

02 Aug

0-2

vs Houston Dynamo

🚩 2-6

23 Jul

2-1

vs Minnesota United

🚩 -

17 Jul

2-3

@ St. Louis CITY

🚩 6-5

24 May

1-2

vs New York Red Bulls

🚩 6-1

17 May

2-1

@ Austin

🚩 7-3

14 May

3-1

vs LA Galaxy

🚩 4-8

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Sporting Kansas City matches

90%

of high-confidence calls correct, over 10

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Sporting Kansas City fixture, it is right 9 out of 10 (90%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Sporting Kansas City by market

Goals (Over/Under)100%6/6

Result75%3/4

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Sporting Kansas City fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Sporting Kansas City matches.