Bawler / USA: MLS / Vancouver Whitecaps
Team profile · USA: MLS

Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
11
11 settled
Goals for
1.92
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.16
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
64%
7/11 calls

Vancouver Whitecaps prediction: Bawler's model rates Vancouver Whitecaps at 1.92 expected goals scored and 1.16 conceded per match across 11 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 64% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 2W 1D 2L. No Vancouver Whitecaps fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Vancouver Whitecaps are the most complete profile in this data: creating 1.92 expected goals a game while giving up just 1.16. Across 11 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Vancouver Whitecaps have been correct 64% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
4W 3D 4L
Real goals
1.7 – 1.5
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Vancouver Whitecaps compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.92
Above average
Goals against
1.16
Tighter than most
Scored1.92
Conceded1.16

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.92 xG per match · +0.45 above the USA: MLS average of 1.48.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.16 xG per match · -0.29 vs league average of 1.45.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 71% of the time on Vancouver Whitecaps fixtures (5/7).

📊 Vancouver Whitecaps in numbers

54 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
🏠 2.2✈️ 1.5
5.6
Corners · per game
give up 4.2
🏠 6.8✈️ 4.6
15.0
Shots · per game
faced 9.9
🏠 17.8✈️ 12.7
5.4
On target · per game
faced 3.6
🏠 6.2✈️ 4.8
🗓️ Last 6 games
12 Aug
1-2
@ Tigres UANL
🚩 5-2
08 Aug
1-3
vs Juarez
🚩 8-1
05 Aug
0-1
vs Atlante
🚩 8-2
02 Aug
1-1
vs LAFC
🚩 10-1
26 Jul
0-0
@ Minnesota United
🚩 2-5
22 Jul
3-4
@ Cincinnati
🚩 3-1

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Vancouver Whitecaps matches
64%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 11

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Vancouver Whitecaps fixture, it is right 7 out of 11 (64%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Vancouver Whitecaps by market
Result71%5/7
Goals (Over/Under)50%2/4

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Vancouver Whitecaps fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Vancouver Whitecaps matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

Transfer activity

OUTSebastian BerhalterDMto Middlesbrough€1.8m
OUTJoedrick PupeLBto St.TruidenUndisclosed
OUTNelson PierreSTto FC TulsaLoan
OUTAdrián PelayoCBto Phoenix Rising FCFree transfer
OUTMax AnchorGKto Seattle Sounders FCFree transfer
OUTSebastian SchonlauCBto Holstein KielUndisclosed
OUTMark O'NeillCBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTJackson CastroCMto Forward Madison FCFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Vancouver Whitecaps prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly