Bawler / USA: MLS / Colorado Rapids
Team profile · USA: MLS

Colorado Rapids Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
11
10 settled
Goals for
1.57
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.29
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
50%
5/10 calls

Colorado Rapids prediction: for Colorado Rapids's next match — Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City on Sunday 16 Aug, 01:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Colorado Rapids win looks most likely (57%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Colorado Rapids sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.57 expected goals a game and conceding 1.29. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.10 goals a game against 1.57 expected. Next up is Sporting Kansas City, where the model makes them clear favourites at 57%.

Next match

Home vs Sporting Kansas City · Sunday 16 Aug, 01:30 UTC

Win
57%
This team
Draw
26%
Loss
17%
Opponent
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 85%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
4W 0D 6L
Real goals
1.1 – 1.1
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Colorado Rapids compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.57
Above average
Goals against
1.29
Tighter than most
Scored1.57
Conceded1.29

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.29 xG per match · -0.16 vs league average of 1.45.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Colorado Rapids fixtures (3/3).
Tough market: Goals (Over/Under)
Colorado Rapids matches give the model a harder read here — 2/7 (29%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

📊 Colorado Rapids in numbers

44 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
🏠 1.4✈️ 1.1
5.2
Corners · per game
give up 5.2
🏠 6.1✈️ 4.3
11.8
Shots · per game
faced 14.1
🏠 14.6✈️ 9.1
4.0
On target · per game
faced 5.0
🏠 4.9✈️ 3.3
🗓️ Last 6 games
02 Aug
1-0
vs Austin
🚩 11-0
26 Jul
0-1
@ St. Louis CITY
🚩 1-10
23 Jul
1-0
vs San Diego
🚩 -
24 May
1-2
vs Dallas
🚩 5-3
17 May
1-2
@ Real Salt Lake
🚩 6-2
14 May
1-0
@ Minnesota United
🚩 5-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Colorado Rapids matches
50%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 10

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Colorado Rapids fixture, it is right 5 out of 10 (50%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Colorado Rapids by market
Goals (Over/Under)29%2/7
Result100%3/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Colorado Rapids fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Colorado Rapids matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

Transfer activity

INLoïc WilliamsCBfrom Granada€3m
INGeorgi MinoungouLWfrom Seattle Sounders FCFree transfer
INMiguel NavarroLBfrom TalleresLoan
INYoussef MazizAMfrom OH LeuvenFree transfer
INKosi ThompsonRBfrom Toronto FCUndisclosed
OUTAlexis ManyomaLWto Deportivo CaliLoan
OUTIan MurphyCBto San Diego FCFree transfer
OUTSamuel VinesLBto MLS PoolFree transfer
OUTConnor RonanDMto AberdeenFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Colorado Rapids prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly