Bawler / USA: MLS / LAFC
Team profile · USA: MLS

LAFC Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
4
3 settled
Goals for
2.42
Expected, per match
Goals against
0.98
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
3/3 calls

LAFC prediction: for LAFC's next match — LAFC vs San Diego on Sunday 16 Aug, 02:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a LAFC win looks most likely (40%). The model's strongest call is LAFC or Draw.

LAFC are the most complete profile in this data: creating 2.42 expected goals a game while giving up just 0.98. They are unbeaten across their last 3 settled matches. Next up is San Diego FC, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 40%.

Next match

Home vs San Diego · Sunday 16 Aug, 02:30 UTC

Win
40%
LAFC
Draw
28%
Loss
32%
San Diego
High confidence · LAFC or Draw @ 68%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 3 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 2D 0L
Real goals
2.7 – 0.7
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How LAFC compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
2.42
Above average
Goals against
0.98
Tighter than most
Scored2.42
Conceded0.98

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 2.42 xG per match · +0.95 above the USA: MLS average of 1.48.
Solid defensively
Conceding 0.98 xG per match · -0.47 vs league average of 1.45.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on LAFC fixtures (3/3).

📊 LAFC in numbers

43 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.0
Goals · per game
let in 1.1
🏠 2.0✈️ 1.9
4.7
Corners · per game
give up 4.7
🏠 5.4✈️ 4.0
13.9
Shots · per game
faced 10.8
🏠 15.2✈️ 12.7
5.6
On target · per game
faced 3.6
🏠 6.2✈️ 5.0
🗓️ Last 6 games
09 Aug
1-0
@ Toluca
🚩 2-5
06 Aug
2-1
vs Guadalajara Chivas
🚩 2-5
02 Aug
1-1
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
🚩 1-10
03 May
2-2
@ San Diego
🚩 3-2
05 Apr
6-0
vs Orlando City
🚩 8-7
22 Mar
0-0
@ Austin
🚩 4-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Recent matches (last 3)

Transfer activity

INEvgen CheberkoCBfrom Columbus CrewFree transfer
OUTAmin BoudriCMto Hammarby€3.3m
OUTNathan OrdazSTto DC United€2.1m
OUTArtem SmolyakovLMto Metalist KharkivLoan
OUTMatthew EvansCMto FC Wacker InnsbruckLoan
OUTAdrian WibowoRWto FC Wacker InnsbruckLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

LAFC prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly