Bawler / USA: MLS / San Diego
Team profile · USA: MLS

San Diego Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
11
10 settled
Goals for
1.43
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.63
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
80%
8/10 calls

San Diego prediction: for San Diego's next match — LAFC vs San Diego on Sunday 16 Aug, 02:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it LAFC are favoured (40%). The model's strongest call is LAFC or Draw.

San Diego sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.43 expected goals a game and conceding 1.63. Next up is a trip to LAFC, where the model has them as underdogs at 32%.

Next match

Away vs LAFC · Sunday 16 Aug, 02:30 UTC

Win
32%
San Diego
Draw
28%
Loss
40%
LAFC
High confidence · LAFC or Draw @ 68%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
2W 5D 3L
Real goals
1.5 – 1.5
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How San Diego compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.43
Below average
Goals against
1.63
Leakier than most
Scored1.43
Conceded1.63

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.63 xG per match · +0.18 vs league average of 1.45.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on San Diego fixtures (4/4).

📊 San Diego in numbers

51 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
🏠 1.7✈️ 1.9
5.2
Corners · per game
give up 3.7
🏠 6.1✈️ 4.0
13.0
Shots · per game
faced 12.2
🏠 14.4✈️ 11.1
4.9
On target · per game
faced 4.7
🏠 5.2✈️ 4.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
10 Aug
1-0
vs Club Tijuana
🚩 4-2
07 Aug
1-3
@ Club America
🚩 3-7
02 Aug
1-1
@ Minnesota United
🚩 4-8
26 Jul
1-0
vs Dallas
🚩 9-4
23 Jul
0-1
@ Colorado Rapids
🚩 -
24 May
2-4
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
🚩 2-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on San Diego matches
80%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 10

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a San Diego fixture, it is right 8 out of 10 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on San Diego by market
Goals (Over/Under)67%4/6
Result100%4/4

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on San Diego fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for San Diego matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

Transfer activity

INElias AchouriLMfrom FC København€3m
INIan MurphyCBfrom Colorado RapidsFree transfer
INDagur ThórhallssonRBfrom CF Montreal€440k
INGabriel PiraniSTfrom DC United€305k
OUTHirving LozanoLWto LA GalaxyLoan
OUTAndrés ReyesCBto Atletico NacionalFree transfer
OUTAnisse SaidiSTto Monterey Bay FCLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

San Diego prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly