Bawler / USA: MLS / LA Galaxy
Team profile · USA: MLS

LA Galaxy Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
12
11 settled
Goals for
1.44
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.34
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
64%
7/11 calls

LA Galaxy prediction: for LA Galaxy's next match — Houston Dynamo vs LA Galaxy on Sunday 16 Aug, 00:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Houston Dynamo are favoured (44%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

LA Galaxy sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.44 expected goals a game and conceding 1.34. Next up is a trip to Houston Dynamo FC, where the model has them as underdogs at 26%.

Next match

Away vs Houston Dynamo · Sunday 16 Aug, 00:30 UTC

Win
26%
LA Galaxy
Draw
31%
Loss
44%
Opponent
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 82%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 5D 3L
Real goals
1.2 – 1.3
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How LA Galaxy compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.44
Below average
Goals against
1.34
Tighter than most
Scored1.44
Conceded1.34

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 83% of the time on LA Galaxy fixtures (5/6).
Tough market: Result
LA Galaxy matches give the model a harder read here — 2/5 (40%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

📊 LA Galaxy in numbers

45 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.8
🏠 1.4✈️ 1.2
5.6
Corners · per game
give up 4.7
🏠 6.0✈️ 5.1
12.7
Shots · per game
faced 13.4
🏠 13.7✈️ 11.7
4.8
On target · per game
faced 4.8
🏠 5.5✈️ 4.1
🗓️ Last 6 games
02 Aug
0-0
vs Dallas
🚩 6-6
26 Jul
1-1
@ San Jose Earthquakes
🚩 -
23 Jul
1-3
vs St. Louis CITY
🚩 -
24 May
1-1
vs Houston Dynamo
🚩 8-2
17 May
2-0
@ Seattle Sounders
🚩 1-5
14 May
1-3
@ Sporting Kansas City
🚩 8-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on LA Galaxy matches
64%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 11

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a LA Galaxy fixture, it is right 7 out of 11 (64%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on LA Galaxy by market
Goals (Over/Under)83%5/6
Result40%2/5

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on LA Galaxy fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for LA Galaxy matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

Transfer activity

INHirving LozanoLWfrom San Diego FCLoan
INKyogo FuruhashiSTfrom Birmingham City€1.2m
INSergi RobertoDMfrom Free agentFree transfer
INRobert TaylorRWfrom MLS PoolFree transfer
OUTGabriel PecRWto Cruzeiro€11m
OUTEdwin CerrilloDMto CF AmericaUndisclosed
OUTMauricio CuevasRBto Santos LagunaUndisclosed
OUTAscel EssengueCBto Free agentLoan
OUTTucker LepleyRWto Oakland RootsLoan
OUTChristian RamirezSTto MLS PoolFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

LA Galaxy prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly