Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026
St. Louis CITY prediction: for St. Louis CITY's next match — San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis CITY on Sunday 16 Aug, 02:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it San Jose Earthquakes are favoured (45%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.
St. Louis CITY sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.33 expected goals a game and conceding 1.28. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.67 a game against 1.33 expected. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Next up is a trip to San Jose Earthquakes, where the model has them as underdogs at 26%.
Away vs San Jose Earthquakes · Sunday 16 Aug, 02:30 UTC
The last 5 settled results, most recent first.
How St. Louis CITY compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →
When the model makes a high-confidence call on a St. Louis CITY fixture, it is right 8 out of 9 (89%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.
How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on St. Louis CITY fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for St. Louis CITY matches.
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