Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026
Chicago Fire prediction: Bawler's model rates Chicago Fire at 1.59 expected goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match across 11 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 73% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Chicago Fire fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Chicago Fire sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.59 expected goals a game and conceding 1.33. Across 11 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Chicago Fire have been correct 73% of the time.
The last 5 settled results, most recent first.
How Chicago Fire compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →
When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Chicago Fire fixture, it is right 8 out of 11 (73%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.
How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Chicago Fire fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Chicago Fire matches.
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