Bawler / USA: MLS / Real Salt Lake
Team profile · USA: MLS

Real Salt Lake Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
10
9 settled
Goals for
1.59
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.37
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
89%
8/9 calls

Real Salt Lake prediction: for Real Salt Lake's next match — Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United on Sunday 16 Aug, 01:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Real Salt Lake win looks most likely (44%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Real Salt Lake sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.59 expected goals a game and conceding 1.37. Next up is Minnesota United FC, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 44%.

Next match

Home vs Minnesota United · Sunday 16 Aug, 01:30 UTC

Win
44%
This team
Draw
30%
Loss
26%
Opponent
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 85%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 3D 3L
Real goals
1.3 – 1.1
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Real Salt Lake compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.59
Above average
Goals against
1.37
Tighter than most
Scored1.59
Conceded1.37

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Real Salt Lake fixtures (6/6).

📊 Real Salt Lake in numbers

47 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
🏠 1.7✈️ 0.9
4.5
Corners · per game
give up 5.1
🏠 5.0✈️ 4.0
14.4
Shots · per game
faced 13.2
🏠 15.2✈️ 13.7
4.9
On target · per game
faced 4.2
🏠 5.4✈️ 4.4
🗓️ Last 6 games
12 Aug
3-0
vs Juarez
🚩 3-4
09 Aug
4-0
vs Atlante
🚩 1-6
05 Aug
1-1
@ Tigres UANL
🚩 6-4
02 Aug
1-1
@ St. Louis CITY
🚩 4-9
26 Jul
1-2
@ Portland Timbers
🚩 -
23 May
1-1
@ Minnesota United
🚩 3-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Real Salt Lake matches
89%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 9

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Real Salt Lake fixture, it is right 8 out of 9 (89%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Real Salt Lake by market
Goals (Over/Under)100%6/6
Result67%2/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Real Salt Lake fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Real Salt Lake matches.

Recent matches (last 9)

Transfer activity

OUTBrayan VeraCBto CF Montreal€1.5m
OUTNelson PalacioCMto Toronto FC€960k
OUTJesús BareaLWto Athletic Club BoiseLoan
OUTJavain BrownLBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTMarcos ZambranoSTto New England RevolutionLoan
OUTJohnny RussellRWto Free agentFree transfer
OUTJude WellingsCMto Free agentFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Real Salt Lake prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly