Lorient vs Paris FC prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45 UK
43Lorient win27Draw30Paris FC win
Full time
1–0

How it finished

Lorient beat Paris FC 1–0. Lorient had 8 shots (5 on target) to Paris FC's 16 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. On expected goals it was 0.5 to 0.7, so Paris FC created the better chances and still lost the game.

LorientFull-time statsParis FC
40%Possession60%
0.5Expected goals (xG)0.7
8Shots16
5Shots on target3
6Shots inside box8
0Big chances1
3Corners9
3Saves3
9Fouls13
0Offsides3
1Yellow cards5
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Lorient win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.5v1.2
2.7 in total
Both teams score
55%
Leans yes
3+ goals
51%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

LorientLorientParis FCParis FC
1.5Goals1.2
7.5Shots11.4
1.9On target5.0
1.8Corners3.5
LorientLorientParis FCParis FC
0.7Goals0.6
3.3Shots5.0
0.8On target2.2
0.8Corners1.6
LorientLorientParis FCParis FC
0.8Goals0.7
4.2Shots6.3
1.1On target2.7
1.0Corners1.8

What we said the chances were

Lorient to score78%
2 or more goals76%
Goal before half-time72%
Paris FC to score71%
3 goals or fewer71%

First half — what we expected

Lorient
51%
to score before half-time
Paris FC
43%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

LorientLorientParis FCParis FC
41%4+ shots67%
16%6+ shots39%
51%1+ shots on target86%
<10%3+ shots on target38%
51%1+ corners75%
<10%3+ corners24%

League position

Paris FC in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Apr 2026Lorient 1–1 Paris FC
Feb 2026Lorient 2–0 Paris FC
Oct 2025Paris FC 2–0 Lorient
Mar 2025Paris FC 3–2 Lorient
Dec 2024Lorient 2–0 Paris FC
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Lorient form →Paris FC form →

Common questions

Who won Lorient vs Paris FC?

Lorient beat Paris FC 1–0. Lorient had 8 shots (5 on target) to Paris FC's 16 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. On expected goals it was 0.5 to 0.7, so Paris FC created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Lorient vs Paris FC?

Lorient 1–0 Paris FC, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lorient 43%, the draw 27% and Paris FC 30%.

What were the stats in Lorient vs Paris FC?

Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–0.7, Shots 8–16, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 6–8, Big chances 0–1, Corners 3–9, Saves 3–3, Fouls 9–13, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–5.

Did both teams score in Lorient vs Paris FC?

No. It finished 1–0, so Paris FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.