Millwall vs Swansea City prediction — Championship · Tue 13 Oct · 19:45 UK

Championship · Tue 13 Oct · 19:45 UK
47Millwall win26Draw27Swansea City win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

Swansea City beat Millwall 1–0. Millwall had 8 shots (4 on target) to Swansea City's 12 (2), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.2.

MillwallFull-time statsSwansea City
50%Possession50%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.2
8Shots12
4Shots on target2
6Shots inside box7
4Big chances4
13Corners1
1Saves3
10Fouls11
3Offsides2
3Yellow cards2
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Millwall win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.6v1.2
2.8 in total
Both teams score
56%
Leans yes
3+ goals
53%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

MillwallMillwallSwansea CitySwansea City
1.6Goals1.2
11.9Shots12.1
3.6On target5.5
3.6Corners3.8
MillwallMillwallSwansea CitySwansea City
0.8Goals0.4
5.6Shots5.3
1.7On target2.3
1.7Corners1.8
MillwallMillwallSwansea CitySwansea City
0.9Goals0.8
6.3Shots6.9
1.8On target3.2
1.9Corners2.0

What we said the chances were

Millwall to score81%
2 or more goals77%
Goal before half-time70%
Swansea City to score69%
3 goals or fewer69%

First half — what we expected

Millwall
54%
to score before half-time
Swansea City
34%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

MillwallMillwallSwansea CitySwansea City
61%5+ shots56%
34%7+ shots30%
78%1+ shots on target87%
26%3+ shots on target39%
76%1+ corners78%
25%3+ corners27%

League position

Swansea City in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Jan 2026Millwall 2–1 Swansea City
Sept 2025Swansea City 1–1 Millwall
Apr 2025Millwall 1–0 Swansea City
Oct 2024Swansea City 0–1 Millwall
May 2024Swansea City 0–1 Millwall
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Millwall form →Swansea City form →

Common questions

Who won Millwall vs Swansea City?

Swansea City beat Millwall 1–0. Millwall had 8 shots (4 on target) to Swansea City's 12 (2), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Millwall vs Swansea City?

Millwall 0–1 Swansea City, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Millwall 47%, the draw 26% and Swansea City 27%.

What were the stats in Millwall vs Swansea City?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.2, Shots 8–12, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 6–7, Big chances 4–4, Corners 13–1, Saves 1–3, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Millwall vs Swansea City?

No. It finished 0–1, so Millwall failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.