Swansea City beat Millwall 1–0. Millwall had 8 shots (4 on target) to Swansea City's 12 (2), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.2.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Swansea City beat Millwall 1–0. Millwall had 8 shots (4 on target) to Swansea City's 12 (2), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.2.
Millwall 0–1 Swansea City, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Millwall 47%, the draw 26% and Swansea City 27%.
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.2, Shots 8–12, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 6–7, Big chances 4–4, Corners 13–1, Saves 1–3, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 3–2.
No. It finished 0–1, so Millwall failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.