Aston Villa vs Brentford prediction — Premier League · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK

Premier League · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK
39Aston Villa win26Draw35Brentford win
Full time
2–2

How it finished

Aston Villa and Brentford drew 2–2. Aston Villa had 20 shots (7 on target) to Brentford's 14 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.3.

Aston VillaFull-time statsBrentford
52%Possession48%
1.8Expected goals (xG)1.3
20Shots14
7Shots on target4
15Shots inside box12
2Big chances2
2Corners2
3Saves5
7Fouls24
1Offsides1
2Yellow cards5
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Aston Villa win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.5v1.4
3.0 in total
Both teams score
60%
Yes
3+ goals
57%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Aston VillaAston VillaBrentfordBrentford
1.5Goals1.4
14.0Shots15.6
2.4On target6.3
2.8Corners5.4
Aston VillaAston VillaBrentfordBrentford
0.6Goals0.7
6.5Shots7.2
1.1On target2.9
1.3Corners2.5
Aston VillaAston VillaBrentfordBrentford
0.9Goals0.8
7.6Shots8.4
1.3On target3.3
1.5Corners2.9

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals80%
Aston Villa to score79%
Brentford to score76%
Goal before half-time74%
3 goals or fewer65%

First half — what we expected

Aston Villa
47%
to score before half-time
Brentford
50%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Aston VillaAston VillaBrentfordBrentford
58%6+ shots66%
34%8+ shots42%
29%2+ shots on target75%
<10%4+ shots on target34%
37%2+ corners67%
<10%4+ corners26%

League position

Brentford in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Feb 2026Aston Villa 0–1 Brentford
Sept 2025Brentford 1–1 Aston Villa
Aug 2025Brentford 1–0 Aston Villa
Mar 2025Brentford 0–1 Aston Villa
Dec 2024Aston Villa 3–1 Brentford
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Aston Villa form →Brentford form →

Common questions

Who won Aston Villa vs Brentford?

Aston Villa and Brentford drew 2–2. Aston Villa had 20 shots (7 on target) to Brentford's 14 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Aston Villa vs Brentford?

Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Aston Villa 39%, the draw 26% and Brentford 35%.

What were the stats in Aston Villa vs Brentford?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.3, Shots 20–14, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 15–12, Big chances 2–2, Corners 2–2, Saves 3–5, Fouls 7–24, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–5.

Did both teams score in Aston Villa vs Brentford?

Yes — both Aston Villa and Brentford scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.