Aston Villa and Brentford drew 2–2. Aston Villa had 20 shots (7 on target) to Brentford's 14 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.3.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Aston Villa and Brentford drew 2–2. Aston Villa had 20 shots (7 on target) to Brentford's 14 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.3.
Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Aston Villa 39%, the draw 26% and Brentford 35%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.3, Shots 20–14, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 15–12, Big chances 2–2, Corners 2–2, Saves 3–5, Fouls 7–24, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–5.
Yes — both Aston Villa and Brentford scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.