Bawler / Italy: Serie A / Verona
Team profile · Italy: Serie A

Verona Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
0.91
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.63
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
5/5 calls

Verona prediction: Bawler's model rates Verona at 0.91 expected goals scored and 1.63 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Verona fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Verona are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.63 expected goals a game against a Serie A average of 1.36. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.40 goals a game against 0.91 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Verona have been correct 100% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
0W 2D 3L
Real goals
0.4 – 1.2
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Verona compare with the Italy: Serie A average, per match.

Goals for
0.91
Below average
Goals against
1.63
Leakier than most
Scored0.91
Conceded1.63

The grey line on each bar is the Italy: Serie A average (1.20 scored, 1.36 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 0.91 xG per match · -0.29 above the Italy: Serie A average of 1.20.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.63 xG per match · +0.27 vs league average of 1.36.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Verona fixtures (4/4).

📊 Verona in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.7
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
🏠 0.6✈️ 0.7
4.0
Corners · per game
give up 5.1
🏠 4.8✈️ 3.0
11.1
Shots · per game
faced 13.5
🏠 10.9✈️ 11.3
3.7
On target · per game
faced 4.2
🏠 4.0✈️ 3.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
24 May
0-2
vs Roma
🚩 6-6
17 May
1-1
@ Inter Milan
🚩 2-10
10 May
0-1
vs Como
🚩 7-7
03 May
1-1
@ Juventus
🚩 1-14
25 Apr
0-0
vs Lecce
🚩 2-4
19 Apr
0-1
vs AC Milan
🚩 6-1

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Verona matches
100%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Verona fixture, it is right 5 out of 5 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Verona prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly