Sassuolo and AC Milan drew 1–1. Sassuolo had 11 shots (4 on target) to AC Milan's 11 (6), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.2.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Sassuolo and AC Milan drew 1–1. Sassuolo had 11 shots (4 on target) to AC Milan's 11 (6), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.2.
Sassuolo 1–1 AC Milan, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sassuolo 31%, the draw 26% and AC Milan 43%.
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.2, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 4–10, Big chances 2–3, Corners 3–5, Saves 5–3, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–4.
Yes — both Sassuolo and AC Milan scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.