Bawler / GERMANY: Bundesliga / Bayern Munich
Team profile · GERMANY: Bundesliga

Bayern Munich Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
2.75
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.32
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
5/5 calls

Bayern Munich prediction: Bawler's model rates Bayern Munich at 2.75 expected goals scored and 1.32 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. No Bayern Munich fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Bayern Munich are the most complete profile in this data: creating 2.75 expected goals a game while giving up just 1.32. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Bayern Munich have been correct 100% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
4W 1D 0L
Real goals
2.8 – 1.4
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Bayern Munich compare with the GERMANY: Bundesliga average, per match.

Goals for
2.75
Above average
Goals against
1.32
Tighter than most
Scored2.75
Conceded1.32

The grey line on each bar is the GERMANY: Bundesliga average (1.67 scored, 1.69 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 2.75 xG per match · +1.09 above the GERMANY: Bundesliga average of 1.67.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.32 xG per match · -0.37 vs league average of 1.69.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Bayern Munich fixtures (3/3).

📊 Bayern Munich in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
3.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
🏠 3.7✈️ 3.2
6.1
Corners · per game
give up 3.6
🏠 7.0✈️ 5.1
19.0
Shots · per game
faced 10.9
🏠 21.2✈️ 16.7
8.4
On target · per game
faced 3.6
🏠 8.5✈️ 8.2
🗓️ Last 6 games
16 May
5-1
vs FC Koln
🚩 5-5
09 May
1-0
@ Wolfsburg
🚩 3-6
06 May
1-1
vs PSG
🚩 1-8
02 May
3-3
vs Heidenheim
🚩 13-5
28 Apr
4-5
@ PSG
🚩 5-2
25 Apr
4-3
@ Mainz
🚩 4-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Bayern Munich matches
100%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Bayern Munich fixture, it is right 5 out of 5 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Bayern Munich by market
Result100%3/3
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Bayern Munich fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Bayern Munich matches.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INNathaniel BrownLBfrom Eintracht Frankfurt€50m
INIsmael SaibariAMfrom PSV Eindhoven€50m
INBara NdiayeDMfrom Gambinos Stars€3.5m
OUTNoël AsékoAMto Eintracht Frankfurt€12m
OUTDaniel PeretzGKto Southampton€8m
OUTJonathan AspLWto Deportivo A Coruña€6m
OUTJonah Kusi-AsareSTto Fulham€6m
OUTAlexander NübelGKto Beşiktaş€5m
OUTMaurice KrattenmacherAMto ElversbergUndisclosed
OUTLovro ZvonarekCMto Estrela da Amadora€1.5m
OUTJavier FernándezDMto 1. FC NürnbergLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Bayern Munich prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly