Bawler / NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie / Nijmegen
Team profile · NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie

Nijmegen Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
8
6 settled
Goals for
1.84
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.50
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
83%
5/6 calls

Nijmegen prediction: for Nijmegen's next match — Willem II vs Nijmegen on Saturday 15 Aug, 14:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Willem II are favoured (42%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Nijmegen sit close to the Eredivisie average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.84 expected goals a game and conceding 1.50. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.84 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Next up is a trip to Willem II, where the model has them as underdogs at 27%.

Next match

Away vs Willem II · Saturday 15 Aug, 14:30 UTC

Win
27%
Nijmegen
Draw
31%
Loss
42%
Willem II
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 83%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 2D 3L
Real goals
1.0 – 1.3
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Nijmegen compare with the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average, per match.

Goals for
1.84
Above average
Goals against
1.50
Tighter than most
Scored1.84
Conceded1.50

The grey line on each bar is the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average (1.67 scored, 1.69 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.84 xG per match · +0.17 above the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average of 1.67.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.50 xG per match · -0.19 vs league average of 1.69.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 83% of the time on Nijmegen fixtures (5/6).

📊 Nijmegen in numbers

36 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
🏠 2.3✈️ 2.0
6.1
Corners · per game
give up 4.0
🏠 6.8✈️ 5.3
16.8
Shots · per game
faced 11.0
🏠 17.9✈️ 15.6
6.4
On target · per game
faced 4.8
🏠 6.3✈️ 6.6
🗓️ Last 6 games
08 Aug
1-2
vs Telstar
🚩 13-3
04 Aug
0-0
@ Olympiacos
🚩 2-5
17 May
2-1
vs Go Ahead Eagles
🚩 13-4
10 May
1-2
@ Groningen
🚩 6-5
02 May
0-1
vs Telstar
🚩 4-0
25 Apr
1-1
@ Twente
🚩 9-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Nijmegen matches
83%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Nijmegen fixture, it is right 5 out of 6 (83%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Nijmegen prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly