How it finished
Arsenal beat Leeds United 2–1. Arsenal had 13 shots (6 on target) to Leeds United's 11 (5), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.7.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Head to head
Around this fixture
Premier League table →Common questions
Who won Arsenal vs Leeds United?
Arsenal beat Leeds United 2–1. Arsenal had 13 shots (6 on target) to Leeds United's 11 (5), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Arsenal vs Leeds United?
Arsenal 2–1 Leeds United, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Arsenal 63%, the draw 23% and Leeds United 15%.
What were the stats in Arsenal vs Leeds United?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–0.7, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 8–7, Big chances 4–3, Corners 2–4, Saves 4–4, Fouls 12–20, Offsides 7–4, Yellow cards 1–4.
Did both teams score in Arsenal vs Leeds United?
Yes — both Arsenal and Leeds United scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.