Villarreal vs Napoli prediction — Champions League · Tue 13 Oct · 20:00 UK

Champions League · Tue 13 Oct · 20:00 UK
50Villarreal win24Draw26Napoli win
Full time
3–1

How it finished

Villarreal beat Napoli 3–1. Villarreal had 17 shots (4 on target) to Napoli's 11 (3), with 52% of the ball against 48%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.9, so Napoli created the better chances and still lost the game.

VillarrealFull-time statsNapoli
52%Possession48%
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.9
17Shots11
4Shots on target3
8Shots inside box10
2Big chances3
4Corners4
2Saves1
8Fouls15
3Offsides3
2Yellow cards3
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Villarreal win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.9v1.3
3.2 in total
Both teams score
62%
Yes
3+ goals
62%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

VillarrealVillarrealNapoliNapoli
1.9Goals1.3
13.8Shots12.0
6.4On target4.8
6.8Corners5.5
VillarrealVillarrealNapoliNapoli
1.0Goals0.8
6.7Shots5.4
3.2On target2.3
3.2Corners2.6
VillarrealVillarrealNapoliNapoli
0.9Goals0.6
7.1Shots6.5
3.2On target2.5
3.6Corners2.9

What we said the chances were

Villarreal to score85%
2 or more goals83%
Goal before half-time83%
Napoli to score73%

First half — what we expected

Villarreal
64%
to score before half-time
Napoli
53%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

VillarrealVillarrealNapoliNapoli
60%6+ shots44%
36%8+ shots22%
79%2+ shots on target63%
40%4+ shots on target22%
78%2+ corners67%
39%4+ corners27%

League position

Napoli in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Dec 2022Napoli 2–3 Villarreal
Feb 2016Napoli 1–1 Villarreal
Feb 2016Villarreal 1–0 Napoli
Dec 2011Villarreal 0–2 Napoli
Sept 2011Napoli 2–0 Villarreal
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Villarreal form →Napoli form →

Common questions

Who won Villarreal vs Napoli?

Villarreal beat Napoli 3–1. Villarreal had 17 shots (4 on target) to Napoli's 11 (3), with 52% of the ball against 48%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.9, so Napoli created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Villarreal vs Napoli?

Villarreal 3–1 Napoli, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Villarreal 50%, the draw 24% and Napoli 26%.

What were the stats in Villarreal vs Napoli?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.9, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 8–10, Big chances 2–3, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–1, Fouls 8–15, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Villarreal vs Napoli?

Yes — both Villarreal and Napoli scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.