FT · Spain: La Liga · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Villarreal 3–1 LevanteMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Villarreal win
55%
Result
Draw
23%
Levante win
22%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.2
Total 3.3
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+0.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
4.0 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 0.7 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.