FT · Spain: La Liga · Saturday, 24 October 2026
Valencia 1–2 VillarrealMatch recap · Saturday, 24 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Valencia win
35%
Draw
26%
Villarreal win
38%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.5
Total 2.9
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 1.5
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 2.9.