Our model's chance of a home win, a draw and an away win for each Women's Super League match, with the league table and results. Chances only: we don't publish scores or goals forecasts for the women's game.
Our model gives Manchester United a 79% chance to win, the draw 13% and Crystal Palace 8%.
Crystal Palace are new to the league this season: our model has 31 of their past league results to go on, against 95 for Manchester United. With less history, these chances are less certain and can move a lot as results come in.
Match page →Our model gives Chelsea a 49% chance to win, the draw 21% and Manchester City 30%.
Our model gives Tottenham Hotspur a 52% chance to win, the draw 21% and Everton 27%.
Our model gives Brighton a 45% chance to win, the draw 24% and Liverpool 31%.
Our model gives West Ham United a 68% chance to win, the draw 17% and Charlton 15%.
These chances may change: 4 league matches are still to be played before this one, and we update the numbers once they are finished.
Charlton are new to the league this season: our model has 9 of their past league results to go on, against 94 for West Ham United. With less history, these chances are less certain and can move a lot as results come in.
Match page →Our model gives Aston Villa a 51% chance to win, the draw 20% and Birmingham City 29%.
These chances may change: 4 league matches are still to be played before this one, and we update the numbers once they are finished.
Birmingham City are new to the league this season: our model has 9 of their past league results to go on, against 95 for Aston Villa. With less history, these chances are less certain and can move a lot as results come in.
Match page →Our model gives Arsenal a 62% chance to win, the draw 19% and London City Lionesses 19%.
These chances may change: 4 league matches are still to be played before this one, and we update the numbers once they are finished.
Match page →Chances for these matches appear about a week before kickoff. Kickoff times are UK time.
Scores only for now. These matches were played before we started publishing chances, so there are none to show beside them.
Before launch we tested the model on 195 Women's Super League matches it had never seen (2025/26 and 2026/27 up to 8 Nov 2026). For each one it only knew the results from before that day.
The side we rated likelier won 126 of 195 (65%). We had said 61% on average.
Each match has three chances (home win, draw, away win), so 195 matches give 585 of them, grouped above by how likely we said they were. The closer the two percentages on a line, the better. This was a test, not a record of chances we published. Once matches finish with our chances published beforehand, that record will appear here.
Birmingham City, Charlton and Crystal Palace are new to the league this season, so our model has much less to go on. It has 9 past league results for Birmingham City, 9 past league results for Charlton and 31 past league results for Crystal Palace. Early in the season the chances for their matches are less certain, and can move a lot from one week to the next.