FT · Italy: Serie A · Saturday, 24 October 2026
Napoli 3–3 AS RomaMatch recap · Saturday, 24 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Napoli win
33%
Draw
27%
Result
AS Roma win
40%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.4
Total 2.7
Actual
3 – 3
Total 6 (+3.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.3 – 1.9
From the match itself
The match produced 3.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.