How it finished
San Jose Earthquakes beat San Diego FC 3–2. Bawler's model favoured San Diego FC at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave San Jose Earthquakes 31%. It forecast 3.6 goals; the match produced 5. San Diego FC had 10 shots (6 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 11 (6), with 53% of the ball against 47%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
San Jose Earthquakes beat San Diego FC 3–2. Bawler's model favoured San Diego FC at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave San Jose Earthquakes 31%. It forecast 3.6 goals; the match produced 5. San Diego FC had 10 shots (6 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 11 (6), with 53% of the ball against 47%.
What was the final score in San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
San Diego FC 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with San Diego FC 47%, the draw 23% and San Jose Earthquakes 31%.
What were the stats in San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Shots 10–11, Shots on target 6–6, Corners 1–3, Saves 3–4, Fouls 12–17, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–4, Red cards 1–1.
Was Bawler's prediction for San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said San Diego FC or draw 69%, it finished San Jose Earthquakes won (31% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 5; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 88%, it finished Landed.