What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Bawler's model rates this match: San Diego FC are favoured (47% win probability vs 31% for San Jose Earthquakes, 22% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is San Diego FC 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes (9.0% probability). Expected total goals: 3.66.
How does Bawler predict San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives San Diego FC 47%, the draw 22% and San Jose Earthquakes 31%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
BTTS: Yes (70% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.03 and away expected goals 1.63.
Over or under 2.5 goals in San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.66. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).