FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 27 September 2026
Austin FC 3–3 San Diego FCMatch recap · Sunday, 27 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Austin FC win
32%
Draw
25%
Result
San Diego FC win
42%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.6
Total 3.0
Actual
3 – 3
Total 6 (+3.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 1.9
From the match itself
The match produced 3.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.