prediction_explorer
Every Bawler pick is logged before kickoff and settled automatically from live results — no deletions, no edits. Use the filters to slice 5,430 settled predictions by competition, confidence band (High confidence / Medium confidence / Outside shot) and market, and watch the accuracy recompute live. The full findings table below is baked into the page so it reads without JavaScript.
Coverage 2026-03-18 → 2026-09-30 · 46 competitions · 178 markets
Settled-prediction accuracy for each competition with at least 10 High confidence picks, most-covered first. Every figure is recomputable from the same ledger on the track record.
| Competition | High confidence | Medium confidence | Outside shot | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All competitions | 75.3% (1611/2139) | 54.2% (808/1491) | 29.1% (523/1800) | 5,430 |
| USA: MLS | 73.7% (210/285) | 57.8% (104/180) | 33.3% (85/255) | 720 |
| England: Championship | 76.5% (114/149) | 56.4% (62/110) | 31.0% (39/126) | 385 |
| World: International Friendly | 72.4% (92/127) | 63.6% (68/107) | 28.4% (33/116) | 350 |
| Spain: La Liga | 78.0% (99/127) | 52.1% (50/96) | 31.3% (35/112) | 335 |
| Italy: Serie A | 71.0% (76/107) | 52.4% (44/84) | 25.5% (24/94) | 285 |
| Europe: Conference League - Qualification | 74.8% (80/107) | 56.9% (41/72) | 29.8% (31/104) | 283 |
| World: World Cup | 68.3% (71/104) | 58.6% (34/58) | 28.8% (30/104) | 266 |
| England: Premier League | 72.3% (73/101) | 45.2% (33/73) | 33.3% (29/87) | 261 |
| Netherlands: Eredivisie | 83.7% (82/98) | 49.2% (30/61) | 37.5% (27/72) | 231 |
| Portugal: Primeira Liga | 81.6% (80/98) | 50.7% (36/71) | 31.4% (27/86) | 255 |
| France: Ligue 1 | 72.5% (66/91) | 52.9% (37/70) | 27.0% (20/74) | 235 |
| Turkey: Süper Lig | 71.9% (64/89) | 39.7% (23/58) | 22.6% (19/84) | 231 |
| England: EFL Cup | 74.0% (54/73) | 73.5% (36/49) | 22.9% (16/70) | 192 |
| Germany: Bundesliga | 84.7% (61/72) | 54.3% (25/46) | 38.2% (21/55) | 173 |
| Belgium: Pro League | 78.2% (43/55) | 47.4% (18/38) | 26.9% (14/52) | 145 |
| World: Friendly International | 77.8% (42/54) | 46.3% (25/54) | — (0/0) | 108 |
| Europe: UEFA Nations League | 73.1% (38/52) | 60.0% (12/20) | 23.5% (8/34) | 106 |
| Europe: Europa League - Qualification | 75.0% (36/48) | 63.6% (21/33) | 22.9% (11/48) | 129 |
| Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League | 65.1% (28/43) | 80.0% (12/15) | 27.8% (10/36) | 94 |
| Belgium: Jupiler Pro League | 88.2% (30/34) | 46.2% (12/26) | 26.9% (7/26) | 86 |
| Europe: Champions League - Qualification | 80.0% (24/30) | 55.0% (11/20) | 23.3% (7/30) | 80 |
| Scotland: Premiership | 75.0% (18/24) | 63.2% (12/19) | 41.2% (7/17) | 60 |
| Europe: Europa League | 78.9% (15/19) | 50.0% (3/6) | 6.3% (1/16) | 41 |
| Europe: Champions League | 89.5% (17/19) | 75.0% (6/8) | 55.6% (5/9) | 36 |
| Europe: Conference League - Play Offs | 72.2% (13/18) | 50.0% (9/18) | 20.0% (2/10) | 46 |
| Scotland: Scottish Prem | 75.0% (12/16) | 54.5% (6/11) | 20.0% (3/15) | 42 |
| Europe: Europa League - Play Offs | 81.3% (13/16) | 18.8% (3/16) | 33.3% (3/9) | 41 |
| Europe: World Cup - Qualification - Promotion | 75.0% (9/12) | 41.7% (5/12) | — (0/0) | 24 |
| Spain: Copa Del Rey | 80.0% (8/10) | — (0/0) | 10.0% (1/10) | 20 |
High confidence is the free, safest pick; Medium confidence and Outside shot are the higher-variance bands. An Outside shot is expected to land less often than a High confidence call by design — read accuracy against each band's purpose, not against each other.
Combine competition, confidence band, market and result. The accuracy recomputes as you filter.
| Date | Match | Tier | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sept 26 | Papua New Guinea v Solomon Islands | Most likely | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 30 Sept 26 | Papua New Guinea v Solomon Islands | Close call | Home Win | LOST |
| 30 Sept 26 | Mexico v Peru | Most likely | Home Win | LOST |
| 30 Sept 26 | Mexico v Peru | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | LOST |
| 30 Sept 26 | United States v Chile | Most likely | Home Win | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Spain v Croatia | Most likely | Home Win | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Spain v Croatia | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Slovenia v North Macedonia | Most likely | 1X | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Slovenia v North Macedonia | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | LOST |
| 29 Sept 26 | Slovakia v Kazakhstan | Most likely | Home Win | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Slovakia v Kazakhstan | Close call | Over 2.5 Goals | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Slovakia v Kazakhstan | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | LOST |
| 29 Sept 26 | Scotland v Switzerland | Most likely | X2 | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Scotland v Switzerland | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | LOST |
| 29 Sept 26 | San Marino v Albania | Most likely | Away Win | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Luxembourg v Iceland | Most likely | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Luxembourg v Iceland | Close call | Over 2.5 Goals | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Luxembourg v Iceland | Outside shot | Draw | LOST |
| 29 Sept 26 | Czechia v England | Most likely | Away Win | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Bulgaria v Estonia | Most likely | Over 1.5 Goals | LOST |
| 29 Sept 26 | Bulgaria v Estonia | Outside shot | Draw | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Moldova v Faroe Islands | Most likely | Away Win | LOST |
| 29 Sept 26 | Moldova v Faroe Islands | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | LOST |
| 29 Sept 26 | Finland v Belarus | Most likely | Over 1.5 Goals | LOST |
| 29 Sept 26 | Finland v Belarus | Outside shot | Draw | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Russia v Iran | Most likely | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Russia v Iran | Close call | Over 2.5 Goals | LOST |
| 29 Sept 26 | Russia v Iran | Outside shot | Draw | LOST |
| 29 Sept 26 | Australia v Brazil | Most likely | X2 | WON |
| 29 Sept 26 | Australia v Brazil | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | WON |
| 28 Sept 26 | Türkiye v Italy | Most likely | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 28 Sept 26 | Türkiye v Italy | Close call | 1X | LOST |
| 28 Sept 26 | Türkiye v Italy | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | WON |
| 28 Sept 26 | Sweden v Poland | Most likely | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 28 Sept 26 | Sweden v Poland | Outside shot | Draw | LOST |
| 28 Sept 26 | Romania v Bosnia-Herzegovina | Most likely | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 28 Sept 26 | Romania v Bosnia-Herzegovina | Close call | Over 2.5 Goals | WON |
| 28 Sept 26 | Romania v Bosnia-Herzegovina | Outside shot | Draw | LOST |
| 28 Sept 26 | Northern Ireland v Hungary | Most likely | Over 1.5 Goals | LOST |
| 28 Sept 26 | Northern Ireland v Hungary | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | LOST |
| 28 Sept 26 | Belgium v France | Most likely | Over 1.5 Goals | LOST |
| 28 Sept 26 | Belgium v France | Close call | 1X | LOST |
| 28 Sept 26 | Belgium v France | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | LOST |
| 28 Sept 26 | Latvia v Cyprus | Most likely | Over 1.5 Goals | LOST |
| 28 Sept 26 | Latvia v Cyprus | Outside shot | Draw | WON |
| 28 Sept 26 | Georgia v Ukraine | Most likely | X2 | WON |
| 28 Sept 26 | Georgia v Ukraine | Close call | Over 2.5 Goals | LOST |
| 28 Sept 26 | Georgia v Ukraine | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | LOST |
| 28 Sept 26 | Armenia v Montenegro | Most likely | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 28 Sept 26 | Armenia v Montenegro | Outside shot | Draw | LOST |
| 28 Sept 26 | Tajikistan v Palestine | Most likely | 1X | LOST |
| 28 Sept 26 | Tajikistan v Palestine | Close call | Over 2.5 Goals | WON |
| 28 Sept 26 | Tajikistan v Palestine | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | WON |
| 28 Sept 26 | South Korea v Uruguay | Most likely | 1X | LOST |
| 28 Sept 26 | South Korea v Uruguay | Outside shot | Over 3.5 Goals | WON |
| 28 Sept 26 | Japan v Venezuela | Most likely | Home Win | WON |
| 27 Sept 26 | Norway v Portugal | Most likely | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 27 Sept 26 | Norway v Portugal | Outside shot | Draw | LOST |
| 27 Sept 26 | Israel v Republic of Ireland | Most likely | Over 1.5 Goals | WON |
| 27 Sept 26 | Israel v Republic of Ireland | Close call | Away Win | WON |
Showing 60 of 5430 matching picks · every number recomputes from the same settled ledger published on the track record.