FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 27 September 2026
San Jose Earthquakes 3–1 Portland TimbersMatch recap · Sunday, 27 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
San Jose Earthquakes win
54%
Result
Draw
22%
Portland Timbers win
24%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.2 – 1.4
Total 3.6
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 1.5
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 3.6.