How it finished
New York City FC and Nashville SC drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured New York City FC at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. New York City FC had 6 shots (1 on target) to Nashville SC's 13 (2), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
New York City FC and Nashville SC drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured New York City FC at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. New York City FC had 6 shots (1 on target) to Nashville SC's 13 (2), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.6.
What was the final score in New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
New York City FC 0–0 Nashville SC, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with New York City FC 40%, the draw 27% and Nashville SC 34%.
What were the stats in New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.6, Shots 6–13, Shots on target 1–2, Shots inside box 5–8, Big chances 1–1, Corners 3–3, Saves 3–1, Fouls 14–13, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 2–4.
Did both teams score in New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
No. It finished 0–0, so New York City FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for New York City FC vs Nashville SC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said New York City FC or draw 66%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.