Bawler / USA: MLS / Nashville

Team profile · USA: MLS

Nashville Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches

12 settled

Goals for

1.59

Expected, per match

Goals against

1.04

Expected, per match

High-confidence accuracy

58%

7/12 calls

Nashville prediction: for Nashville's next match — Nashville vs Inter Miami on Sunday 16 Aug, 00:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Nashville win looks most likely (42%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Nashville defend well, conceding 1.04 expected goals per game — below the MLS average of 1.45. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Next up is Inter Miami CF, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 42%.

Next match

Home vs Inter Miami · Sunday 16 Aug, 00:30 UTC

Win

42%

Nashville

Draw

29%

Loss

29%

Inter Miami

High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 85%

Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record

6W 4D 2L

Real goals

1.6 – 0.7

For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Nashville compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for

1.59

Above average

Goals against

1.04

Tighter than most

Scored1.59

Conceded1.04

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says

Solid defensively

Conceding 1.04 xG per match · -0.41 vs league average of 1.45.

Model is strongest on: Result

High-confidence calls in this market are correct 83% of the time on Nashville fixtures (5/6).

Tough market: Goals (Over/Under)

Nashville matches give the model a harder read here — 2/5 (40%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

📊 Nashville in numbers

51 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.6

Goals · per game

let in 1.2

🏠 2.1✈️ 1.2

5.1

Corners · per game

give up 3.5

🏠 5.4✈️ 4.8

12.8

Shots · per game

faced 10.9

🏠 14.3✈️ 11.3

5.2

On target · per game

faced 4.1

🏠 6.2✈️ 4.3

🗓️ Last 6 games

10 Aug

4-1

vs Atl. San Luis

🚩 3-3

06 Aug

0-1

vs Club Leon

🚩 4-5

01 Aug

2-2

@ D.C. United

🚩 3-8

25 Jul

0-1

@ Orlando City

🚩 -

23 Jul

1-0

vs CF Montréal

🚩 3-2

18 Jul

1-0

vs Atlanta Utd

🚩 4-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Nashville matches

58%

of high-confidence calls correct, over 12

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Nashville fixture, it is right 7 out of 12 (58%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Nashville by market

Result83%5/6

Goals (Over/Under)40%2/5

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Nashville fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Nashville matches.