FT · USA: MLS · Saturday, 19 September 2026
New York City FC 0–1 Red Bull New YorkMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
New York City FC win
52%
Draw
24%
Red Bull New York win
25%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.3
Total 3.2
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.4 – 1.4
From the match itself
The match produced 2.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.