Lyon beat Crystal Palace 3–2. Lyon had 11 shots (4 on target) to Crystal Palace's 12 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.6.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Lyon beat Crystal Palace 3–2. Lyon had 11 shots (4 on target) to Crystal Palace's 12 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.6.
Lyon 3–2 Crystal Palace, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lyon 35%, the draw 26% and Crystal Palace 39%.
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.6, Shots 11–12, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 8–10, Big chances 4–4, Corners 5–3, Saves 2–1, Fouls 4–8, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Yes — both Lyon and Crystal Palace scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.