Lyon vs Crystal Palace prediction — Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 17:45 UK

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 17:45 UK
35Lyon win26Draw39Crystal Palace win
Full time
3–2

How it finished

Lyon beat Crystal Palace 3–2. Lyon had 11 shots (4 on target) to Crystal Palace's 12 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.6.

LyonFull-time statsCrystal…
50%Possession50%
1.7Expected goals (xG)1.6
11Shots12
4Shots on target4
8Shots inside box10
4Big chances4
5Corners3
2Saves1
4Fouls8
0Offsides1
1Yellow cards3
We predicted
1–2
Likeliest score if Crystal Palace win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.4v1.5
2.9 in total
Both teams score
59%
Leans yes
3+ goals
55%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

LyonLyonCrystal PalaceCrystal Palace
1.4Goals1.5
20.4Shots10.2
7.5On target3.9
6.5Corners2.5
LyonLyonCrystal PalaceCrystal Palace
0.6Goals0.9
9.2Shots5.0
3.4On target1.9
3.0Corners1.2
LyonLyonCrystal PalaceCrystal Palace
0.8Goals0.6
11.1Shots5.2
4.1On target2.0
3.4Corners1.3

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals79%
Crystal Palace to score78%
Goal before half-time78%
Lyon to score75%
3 goals or fewer67%

First half — what we expected

Lyon
47%
to score before half-time
Crystal Palace
58%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

LyonLyonCrystal PalaceCrystal Palace
65%8+ shots17%
44%10+ shots<10%
82%2+ shots on target54%
43%4+ shots on target15%
75%2+ corners32%
36%4+ corners<10%

League position

Crystal Palace in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Aug 2023Crystal Palace 2–0 Lyon
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Lyon form →Crystal Palace form →

Common questions

Who won Lyon vs Crystal Palace?

Lyon beat Crystal Palace 3–2. Lyon had 11 shots (4 on target) to Crystal Palace's 12 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.6.

What was the final score in Lyon vs Crystal Palace?

Lyon 3–2 Crystal Palace, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lyon 35%, the draw 26% and Crystal Palace 39%.

What were the stats in Lyon vs Crystal Palace?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.6, Shots 11–12, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 8–10, Big chances 4–4, Corners 5–3, Saves 2–1, Fouls 4–8, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Lyon vs Crystal Palace?

Yes — both Lyon and Crystal Palace scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.