FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Crystal Palace 4–0 Lech PoznanMatch recap · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Crystal Palace win
65%
Result
Draw
20%
Lech Poznan win
15%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.3 – 1.0
Total 3.3
Actual
4 – 0
Total 4 (+0.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.1 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced 0.7 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.