FT · England: Premier League · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle UnitedMatch recap · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Crystal Palace win
44%
Draw
25%
Newcastle United win
31%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.4
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.7 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced 1.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.