Inter Miami CF and Nashville SC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Inter Miami CF at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 4. Inter Miami CF had 14 shots (5 on target) to Nashville SC's 18 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Inter Miami CF and Nashville SC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Inter Miami CF at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 4. Inter Miami CF had 14 shots (5 on target) to Nashville SC's 18 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.4.
Inter Miami CF 2–2 Nashville SC, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Inter Miami CF 51%, the draw 23% and Nashville SC 27%.
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–2.4, Shots 14–18, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 9–11, Big chances 6–1, Corners 5–3, Saves 1–3, Fouls 13–18, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–2.
Yes — both Inter Miami CF and Nashville SC scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Inter Miami CF or draw 73%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Inter Miami CF to win 51%, it finished Missed.