Bawler / USA: MLS / Inter Miami
Team profile · USA: MLS

Inter Miami Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
13
12 settled
Goals for
1.65
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.48
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
83%
10/12 calls

Inter Miami prediction: for Inter Miami's next match — Nashville vs Inter Miami on Sunday 16 Aug, 00:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Nashville are favoured (42%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Inter Miami sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.65 expected goals a game and conceding 1.48. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.92 a game against 1.65 expected. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Next up is a trip to Nashville SC, where the model has them as underdogs at 29%.

Next match

Away vs Nashville · Sunday 16 Aug, 00:30 UTC

Win
29%
Inter Miami
Draw
29%
Loss
42%
Nashville
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 85%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
8W 3D 1L
Real goals
2.9 – 2.0
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Inter Miami compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.65
Above average
Goals against
1.48
Leakier than most
Scored1.65
Conceded1.48

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.65 xG per match · +0.17 above the USA: MLS average of 1.48.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 88% of the time on Inter Miami fixtures (7/8).

📊 Inter Miami in numbers

54 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.6
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
🏠 2.8✈️ 2.4
4.9
Corners · per game
give up 3.9
🏠 5.1✈️ 4.8
13.9
Shots · per game
faced 11.7
🏠 15.2✈️ 12.2
5.8
On target · per game
faced 4.7
🏠 6.4✈️ 5.2
🗓️ Last 6 games
09 Aug
1-2
vs Monterrey
🚩 6-4
06 Aug
4-2
vs Atl. San Luis
🚩 1-5
01 Aug
2-2
vs Columbus Crew
🚩 -
25 Jul
1-0
@ CF Montréal
🚩 6-5
22 Jul
3-2
vs Chicago Fire
🚩 8-4
24 May
6-4
vs Philadelphia Union
🚩 4-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Inter Miami matches
83%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 12

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Inter Miami fixture, it is right 10 out of 12 (83%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Inter Miami by market
Goals (Over/Under)88%7/8
Result75%3/4

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Inter Miami fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Inter Miami matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

Transfer activity

INCasemiroDMfrom Manchester UnitedFree transfer
OUTBenjamín CremaschiCMto Parma€4.5m
OUTTomás AvilésCBto O'HigginsLoan
OUTFabrice PicaultLWto Atlanta UnitedFree transfer
OUTRyan SailorCBto Seattle Sounders FCFree transfer
OUTRicardo MontenegroCMto Carolina CoreFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Inter Miami prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly