FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 11 October 2026
Inter Miami CF 4–0 D.C. UnitedMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 11 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Inter Miami CF or draw at 79%. Bawler had Inter Miami CF at 59%, the draw at 21% and D.C. United at 21%. The match finished 4–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Inter Miami CF win
59%
Result
Draw
21%
D.C. United win
21%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.3 – 1.3
Total 3.6
Actual
4 – 0
Total 4 (+0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.5 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 3.6.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 88%
Landed
Outside shot
D.C. United to win
Pre-match: 21%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.